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2024-12-13 04:43:48
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CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.Market news: South Korean prosecutors summoned the Minister of Health to participate in the investigation.


A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.US President-elect Trump issued a document saying that the resignation of Christopher Babers, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), is a great day for the United States, accusing the FBI under his leadership of illegal actions, such as illegal search of his home, illegal impeachment and prosecution, which undermined the future of the United States. At the same time, it is believed that Kash Patel is the most qualified candidate to lead the FBI, and he is expected to confirm his leadership position to make the FBI great again. He also said that grassroots FBI personnel and the American people also hope to see these changes.Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.


CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Spot gold just broke through the $2,720.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $2,720.02/oz, up 0.08% in the day; COMEX gold futures main force recently reported $2,754.60 per ounce, down 0.08% in the day.Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.

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